Tuesday, September 4, 2012

Why the United States will invade Iran

Since I'm talking about future events, this is clearly an opinion piece. I also base my opinion on some speculation, so if you don't agree with the speculation, you wouldn't agree with the conclusion. While I don't condone any of the speculated actions, I'm not interested in protesting any of this either. I consider myself of a scientific mind, and I'm just interested in knowing how the world works and whenever possible knowing the truth.

So, I believe that the US will invade Iran to secure its oil just like with Iraq. The USA doesn't simply want their oil (ie to enrich oil companies), they *need* that oil (see oil links below). Most people agree that the amount of petroleum in the world is finite, and some believe that production has already started declining. Oil for the US absolutely is a national security imperative. "The last country with oil wins." If any military power finds itself with little or no oil confronted with an enemy with more oil, they don't stand a chance in armed conflict. Oil powers jets, tanks, aircraft carriers, etc. Literally, the last country with oil will have an extreme military advantage over other countries.

Oil for the United States is also of extreme economic importance. It's not just so that it can be sold for a profit. It's the life blood of the economy and productivity. It's a significant part of the value of the dollar, too. Without the productivity gained from black gold, the economy stagnates, shrinks, and falters. That's eventual but hopefully way in the future, and sustainable practices will necessarily help mitigate the change in the way the economy will work.

So what of the supposed reasons we've entered Iraq and possibly in the future Iran? That's where things get quite messy. I don't even like to talk about it because I feel like there's quite a truth gap.

Me nuh like

Oil economy:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predicting_the_timing_of_peak_oil
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cif-green/2011/mar/01/addiction-oil-global-economy
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/nov/09/peak-oil-international-energy-agency

Iranian threat:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pH8gCEZ4Ds

Iraqi oil:
http://www.democracynow.org/2012/7/16/fuel_on_the_fire_author_greg

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